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Unmasking Nasdaq's Record Rise Before Crucial Fed Meeting

December 18, 2024

In recent financial news, U.S. stock indexes experienced a pullback, trimming some of their gains for the year. The S&P 500 slipped 0.4% from its all-time high, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.6%, and the Nasdaq composite gave back 0.3% from its previous record. Nvidia, a prominent stock contributing to Wall Street's record-breaking streak, fell 1.2%, marking its eighth loss in nine days. This decline was attributed to concerns over high expectations and the stock's significant drop from its previous record. Global fund managers were observed shifting investments into U.S. stocks while reducing cash reserves, a trend reminiscent of challenging times for riskier investments in the past.

The survey conducted by strategists at Bank of America highlighted a surge in optimism among fund managers, reaching levels not seen since August 2021. This heightened optimism, driven by expectations of economic growth and other factors, raised concerns among contrarians. The S&P 500 has been performing exceptionally well, on track for one of its best years in recent history, with a nearly 27% increase. Factors contributing to this growth include the resilience of the U.S. economy, expectations of growth-boosting policies from President-elect Donald Trump, and easing measures by the Federal Reserve, including interest rate cuts.

The Federal Reserve was anticipated to announce a third interest rate cut for the year, along with future rate projections. However, expectations for further cuts were diminishing as inflation showed signs of remaining above the Fed's target rate. Despite the anticipation of rate cuts, a recent report revealed stronger-than-expected sales at U.S. retailers, indicating a robust economy that may not require additional stimulus from lower interest rates. This development could potentially influence the Fed's decision-making process, with the possibility of a pause in rate cuts in the near future.

On the other hand, in the Asian markets, stocks edged higher while the dollar remained firm as traders prepared for central bank meetings. The upcoming meetings were expected to include a rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve and a status quo decision from the Bank of Japan. This anticipation of central bank actions contributed to the cautious yet positive sentiment in Asian markets, with investors closely monitoring the outcomes of these meetings for potential market impacts.

Links to the stories discussed: - Stock market today: Asian shares are mixed after Nasdaq sets a record ahead of Fed meeting - Asian shares drift, dollar firms ahead of central bank meetings

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